Forex Trading System : CatFX50 (by Nina)

Recap of CatFX50
Main tools:
- EMA50 on chart.
- EMA120 on chart.
- Hist_Step_MA_Stoch_KV1_Ex_03 set at 2000 bars.
Set filters on Step: +0,04 and -0,04.
- Plot aNina_v1, set it at 9000 cbars.
Hist_StepMA_Stoch is the main indicator here. When Hist_StepMA_Stoch and aNina give
signal simultaneously, the better. Do not trade if they give opposite signals.
- TSR Daily Range Calculator or TSR range2.
This calculator tells us the daily range of the pair. It is very important to know it. It is very important to know too where the pair is in relation to its daily range when we get a signal. It tells us the stop loss we should use according to the daily range and to a Risk/Reward ratio of 3:1. You can change the R/R. The stop loss it shows is a mathematical one, it is not based on any kind of pattern nor Technical Analysis. Do not forget that.

TF: 30 minutes.
Trade time: 08:00 CET to 18:00 CET (=14.00 s/d 24.00 WIB)
PS. CET = Central European Time = GMT + 1 ; WIB = CET + 6

Optional tools:
FX Sniper’s MA. Set it to 50 and you will have EMA 50 with colors.
FiboPiv_v2
MAX Moving Average set at 50, 14, 2000, 2
Camarilladt7 with L3, L4, L5 and H3, H4 and H5.

Standard or Level 1 signals:
Buy when price crosses EMA 50 and new bar opens above. Hist_StepMA_Stoch must be green.

Sell when price crosses EMA 50 and new bar opens below. Hist_StepMA_Stoch must be red.

If price and Hist_StepMA_Stoch crosses are simultaneous, the better.

Level 2 signals (riskier):
For instance, when price is above EMA 50 with Hist_StepMA_Stoch in green. Price then opens one bar at least below EMA 50 and Hist_StepMA_Stoch keeps in green mode. When price opens again above EMA 50 with Hist_StepMA_Stoch validating (green), we can buy. The opposite for a sell.

Level 3 signals (riskier):
For instance, we are in bullish mode: price above EMA 50 and Hist_StepMA_Stoch in green. Suddenly, price goes down crossing or without crossing EMA 50 and obviously without opening below it. Hist_StepMA_Stoch changes to red. We buy when price goes up again always validated by Hist_StepMA_Stoch that should change to green again.

Level 4 signals (Take care):
Level 4 is when price, after a consolidation of a few bars, breaks through the last high or low. The main thing we need is an indication of strength, and if we don't get it, it could be a trap!
Obviously, the breakout down should have Hist_StepMa_Stoch in red and green for the opposite.














The main difference between Level 2 and Level 3:
On Level 3 the price doesn't have to cross the EMA50 line
The other difference is that Hist_StepMA_Stoch briefly changes color

Level 4:
Notice the price breakout in the illustration? It would be hard to ignore, wouldn't it?
You don't have to wait for the price to close to do the trade, get on board and ride
that baby!

Something to take into account:
Pairs to trade: EURUSD, USDCHF and GBPUSD.

When bar opens more than 20 pips above/below EMA 50, the signal is riskier.

Do not buy/sell, for instance, EURUSD because GBPUSD has a signal. Wait for the signal to come in each pair you want to trade. Look at EURGBP, USDCHF and US Dollar Index always.

Stop Loss and Money Manegement:
We can not jump in a trade without knowing the amount of pips we expect to make. We can not know that seriously without a stop loss. The stop loss will tell us what we should expect according to the Risk/Reward ratio we use. For instance, we get a validated signal to buy EURUSD at 1.2700. We decide to go with 1 standard lot. OK, where do we place the stop loss? A common and today useless stop loss is 34 pips. So, we are risking 34 pips, that is $340. If we do not want to gamble, we should expect to make $690 at least. That is 69 pips or 2:1 R/R. But the optimum R/R is 3:1. That is $1030 or 103 pips.

EURUSD has usually a daily range between 60 and 80 pips. It is clear that we will not be able to make those 103 pips in the majority of cases. Then, what’s the point of using a fixed stop loss of 34 pips? We should not do that if we want to keep our money. So, we need to place a stop loss according to the risk and reward we assume and expect.

Well, you could say, as I want a 3:1, I place the stop loss 5 pips below entry. That is, I’m risking 5 pips to make 15. Great!!! But this does not work that way, sorry. We use charts because we think they tell us what to do according to what price has done. If we use a s/l of 5 pips without looking at what price has done before we get the signal, we are not trading, but betting. What to do, then?

We need to look at what price has done during the previous bars. They will tell us where to place the stop loss. If the “logic” stop loss we get is too high according to what we expect, we should not take that signal. So, lets say it is 17:30cet and we get a signal to buy EURUSD. The stop loss we need to use is 15 pips and EURUSD has only 10 pips to go up according to its daily range. Do we take it?

But, you could say: “Daily ranges break sometimes”. Yes, they do. You said it: sometimes. We should not forget that if we scale during the trade, our risk/reward ratio changes, because we acceped a risk at the beginning of the trade according to a assumed reward we will not get; as the reward will not be the same at the end of the trade if we have taken partial profits during its development.

Here you can read more about stop loss and Money Manegement:
http://www.forex-tsd.com/50536-post6240.html
http://www.forex-tsd.com/50550-post6242.html
http://www.forex-tsd.com/50553-post6243.html

Final:
CatFX50 easy system is a winning one, but it is not a Holy Grail nor a money machine. Use common sense. Do not forget that CatFX50 has not an exit strategy. Therefore, and it is mandatory, you need to know your risk/reward ratio before placing a trade.
I make daily recaps of the signals CatFX50 gives. These recaps can be deceptive, because you see the huge amount of pips the system generates every single day. But no one can take them all. It is impossible. Do not forget that. Maybe, someday, a very smart trader will find the way to grab them all. Since then, take care and good luck!!!

FOCUS, PATIENCE AND DISCIPLINE.

by : Nina

Ten Basic Errors of a Newcomer

1. Trading when market has just opened
Within the first several minutes after opening, the market usually moves about or jumps somewhere abruptly. Experienced traders sometimes try to use their knowledge to forecast by the first market movements what trend is possible. But emotions will certainly play tricks with a newcomer.

2. Undue hurry in taking profit
Well, you opened a long position. Then, after a couple of days, you saw how much money you had earned and closed the position with joy. But this movement, as you would have gathered later, was just the beginning of a powerful up-trend. So, if you would not haste, you could earn 10 times more money. Use TakeProfit orders only on extraordinary occasions, when the resistance level is clearly seen. Normally, it is better to exit the market using StopLoss and trailing stop.

3. Adding lots in a losing position
This is a reverse example: you opened a long position, but price decreased. You doggedly insist on that "it would still grow, I just opened the position too early" and add by buying more lots. But the price goes on dropping and twices your losses. Remember: You should only add lots to a profitable position.

4. Closing positions starting with the best one
If you have some long positions and the price starts to decrease, you often instinctively try to fix your profit first and only then close losing positions (or let it work until the StopLoss triggers). This is a wrong tactics: If the whole market decreases, those positions will most probably lose that have already been unprofitable. But you have already had losses on them. This means you should close them first of all. Better positions will not fall so rapidly and, in case of a reversal, they will go up again. So do not haste to close a profitable position.

5. Revenge
A typical situation for a newcomer: A losing position has just been closed - and he or she starts opening new positions enthusiastically to requite the wrongs. This will result in new losses, so do not return to trading immediately after having lost. Rest a little.

6. The most preferable positions
Approach reasonably to your positions: Do not care especially for some of them, for example, for those where you bought at the lowest price - every trader is usually especially proud of such trades. It is clear that you are puffed up with self-admiration, but be careful and do not carry such a brilliant position to zero or even to minus.

7. Trading by the principle of 'bought for ever'
You were working on a relatively short period of time, opened up, and prices went up tremendously. And you say to yourself: "Aha, I've caught the start of a many years' up-trend", and hang this position "for ever". But things do not just happen: you either change essentially for much longer estimation periods or keep standard rules on your standard short period. Rules that will make you enter and quit the market even if there is a really powerful trend. Do not "marry" your position!

8. Closing of a profitable strategic position on the first day
Vice versa, if you trade not within a day, do not close a profitable position on the first day under no conditions. If even the price has been grown to a very high level, be patient: it can be higher tomorrow.

9. Closing a position when alerted to open an opposite position
Many trade with systems of continuous entering the market. These systems are always "inside of a position". This means, closing of a long position means for them opening of a short one. One can use such positions, but they must be closed earlier: the signal to close must be of higher priority than the signal to open an opposite position.

10. Doubts
You should not trade if you are not sure of your previous situation assessment. Having said to yourself "I'm sick with vague doubts", you should better close all your positions and reanalyze the situation. Or go for a walk. The latter recommendation is actual in all difficult cases, by the way. It helps for all diseases - try it yourself!

How To Increase Forex Profits 100% in 10 Minutes

This simple exercise will increase Forex profits 100% and works for 99% of all short-term FX traders – stop trading so much – widen out your stops – widen out your profit targets – and only trade in the direction of the trend indicated by 4 hour chart.

1) Stop trading so much
Sure there are no commissions but the spreads are HUGE and believe it or not (well you’ll believe it after you do the simple exercise below) the spreads are reducing your profits 100%!

2) Widen out your stops
Initial stop loss should be a minimum of 23 points; I use between 23 and 35 point stop losses for short-term trading.

3) Widen out your profit targets
Unless you think a trade can make you 100 points or more don’t do it.

4) Only trade in the direction of the 4 hour chart
The real money is made in the direction of the trend

Simple exercise
1) Download all your trades for the year into an excel spreadsheet (if you don’t know how to do this ask your broker for help).

2) Determine the dollar value of the spread for each trade.

3) Sum up the total dollar value of all spreads for all trades and add this number it to your current account balance; this is your spread adjusted account balance.

4) Take your spread adjusted current account balance and divide it by your opening balance at beginning of year; the result will be a percentage change.

5) Take your actual current account balance and divide it by your opening balance at beginning of year; the result will be a percentage change.

6) Subtract your spread adjusted year to date percentage change from your actual year to date percentage change.

7) That number should be 100% or more

8) Take the necessary steps as outlined above (1 to 4) and improve your results 100%

by Jimmy Young

How Do You Make Money Trading Forex

In the FX market, you buy or sell currencies. Placing a trade in the foreign exchange market is simple: the mechanics of a trade are very similar to those found in other markets (like the stock market), so if you have any experience in trading, you should be able to pick it up pretty quickly.

The object of Forex trading is to exchange one currency for another in the expectation that the price will change, so that the currency you bought will increase in value compared to the one you sold.

Example of making money by buying Euros :
You purchase 10,000 euros at the EUR/USD exchange rate of 1.18 ( EUR=+10,000 ; USD=-11,800*)
Two weeks later, the trader exchanges his 10,000 Euro back into US dollar at the exchange rate of 1.2500 (EUR=-10,000 ; USD =+12,500**)
The trader has earned a profit of $700 (USD.12,500 – USD.11,800)
*EUR $10,000 x 1.18 = US $11,800
** EUR $10,000 x 1.25 = US $12,500

An exchange rate is simply the ratio of one currency valued against another currency. For example, the USD/CHF exchange rate indicates how many U.S. dollars can purchase one Swiss franc, or how many Swiss francs you need to buy one U.S. dollar.
How to Read an FX Quote

Currencies are always quoted in pairs, such as GBP/USD or USD/JPY. The reason they are quoted in pairs is because in every foreign exchange transaction you are simultaneously buying one currency and selling another. Here is an example of a foreign exchange rate for the British pound versus the U.S. dollar:

GBP/USD = 1.7500

The first listed currency to the left of the slash ("/") is known as the base currency (in this example, the British pound), while the second one on the right is called the counter or quote currency (in this example, the U.S. dollar)..

When buying, the exchange rate tells you how much you have to pay in units of the quote currency to buy one unit of the base currency. In the example above, you have to pay 1.7500 U.S. dollar to buy 1 British pound.

When selling, the exchange rate tells you how many units of the quote currency you get for selling one of the base currency. In the example above, you will receive 1.7500 U.S. dollars when you sell 1 British pound.

The base currency is the “basis” for the buy or the sell. If you buy EUR/USD this simply means that you are buying the base currency and simultaneously selling the quote currency.

You would buy the pair if you believe the base currency will appreciate (go up) relative to the quote currency. You would sell the pair if you think the base currency will depreciate (go down) relative to the quote currency.
Long/Short

First, you should determine whether you want to buy or sell.

If you want to buy (which actually means buy the base currency and sell the quote currency), you want the base currency to rise in value and then you would sell it back at a higher price. In trader's talk, this is called "going long" or taking a "long position". Just remember: long = buy.

If you want to sell (which actually means sell the base currency and buy the quote currency), you want the base currency to fall in value and then you would buy it back at a lower price. This is called "going short" or taking a "short position". Short = sell.

Bid/Ask Spread
All Forex quotes include a two-way price, the bid and ask. The bid is always lower than the ask price.

The bid is the price in which the dealer is willing to buy the base currency in exchange for the quote currency. This means the bid is the price at which you (as the trader) will sell.

The ask is the price at which the dealer will sell the base currency in exchange for the quote currency. This means the ask is the price at which you will buy.

The difference between the bid and the ask price is popularly known as the spread.

Let's take a look at an example of a price quote taken from a trading platform:









On this GBP/USD quote, the bid price is 1.7445 and the ask price is 1.7449. Look at how this broker makes it so easy for you to trade away your money.

If you want to sell GBP, you click "Sell" and you will sell pounds at 1.7445. If you want to buy GBP, you click "Buy" and you will buy pounds at 1.7449.

In the following examples, we're going to use fundamental analysis to help us decide whether to buy or sell a specific currency pair. If you always fell asleep during your economics class or just flat out skipped economics class, don’t worry! We will cover fundamental analysis in a later lesson. For right now, try to pretend you know what’s going on…

EUR/USD
In this example euro is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.

If you believe that the US economy will continue to weaken, which is bad for the US dollar, you would execute a BUY EUR/USD order. By doing so you have bought euros in the expectation that they will rise versus the US dollar.

If you believe that the US economy is strong and the euro will weaken against the US dollar you would execute a SELL EUR/USD order. By doing so you have sold euros in the expectation that they will fall versus the US dollar.

USD/JPY
In this example the US dollar is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.

If you think that the Japanese government is going to weaken the Yen in order to help its export industry, you would execute a BUY USD/JPY order. By doing so you have bought U.S dollars in the expectation that they will rise versus the Japanese yen.

If you believe that Japanese investors are pulling money out of U.S. financial markets and coverting all their U.S. dollars back to Yen, and this will hurt the US dollar, you would execute a SELL USD/JPY order. By doing so you have sold U.S dollars in the expectation that they will depreciate against the Japanese yen.

GBP/USD
In this example the GBP is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.

If you think the British economy will continue to do better than the United States in terms of economic growth, you would execute a BUY GBP/USD order. By doing so you have bought pounds in the expectation that they will rise versus the US dollar.

If you believe the British's economy is slowing while the United State's economy remains strong like bull, you would execute a SELL GBP/USD order. By doing so you have sold pounds in the expectation that they will depreciate against the US dollar.

USD/CHF
In this example the USD is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.

If you think the Swiss franc is overvalued, you would execute a BUY USD/CHF order. By doing so you have bought US dollars in the expectation that they will appreciate versus the Swiss Franc.

If you believe that the US housing market bubble burst will hurt future economic growth, which will weaken the dollar, you would execute a SELL USD/CHF order. By doing so you have sold US dollars in the expectation that they will depreciate against the Swiss franc.

I don't have enough money to buy $10,000 euros. Can I still trade?

You can with margin trading! Margin trading is simply the term used for trading with borrowed capital. This is how you're able to open $10,000 or $100,000 positions with as little as $50 or $1,000. You can conduct relatively large transactions, very quickly and cheaply, with a small amount of initial capital.

Margin trading in the foreign exchange market is quantified in “lots”. We will be discussing these in depth in our next lesson. For now, just think of the term "lot" as the minimum amount of currency you have to buy. When you go to the grocery store and want to buy an egg, you can't just buy a single egg, they come in dozens or "lots" of 12. In Forex, it would be just as foolish to buy or sell $1 EUR, so they usually come in "lots" of $10,000 or $100,000 depending on the type of account you have.

For Example:
* You believe that signals in the market are indicating that the British Pound will go up against the US Dollar.
* You open 1 lot ($100,000) for buying the Pound with a 1% margin at the price of 1.5000 and wait for the exchange rate to climb. This means you now control $100,000 worth of British Pound with $1,000. Your predictions come true and you decide to sell.
* You close the position at 1.5050. You earn 50 pips or about $500. (A pip is the smallest price movement available in a currency). So for an initial capital investment of $1,000, you have made 50% return. Return equals your $500 profit divided by your $1,000 you risked to trade.

Your Actions :
You buy 100,000 pounds at the GBP/USD exchange rate of 1.5000 (GBP=+100,000 ; USD=-150,000 ; Your Money = $1,000 )
You blink for two seconds and the GBP/USD exchange rate rises to 1.5050 and you sell. (GBP=-100,000 ; USD=+150,500 ; Your Money = $1,500)
You have earned a profit of $500. (USD.150,500 – USD.150,00)

Rollover
No, this is not the same as rollover minutes from your cell phone carrier! For positions open at your broker's "cut-off time" usually 5pm EST, there is a daily rollover interest rate that a trader either pays or earns, depending on your established margin and position in the market. If you do not want to earn or pay interest on your positions, simply make sure they are all closed before 5pm EST, the established end of the market day.

Since every currency trade involves borrowing one currency to buy another, interest rollover charges are part of forex trading. Interest is paid on the currency that is borrowed, and earned on the one that is bought. If a client is buying a currency with a higher interest rate than the one he/she is borrowing, the net differential will be positive (i.e. USD/JPY) – and the client will earn funds as a result. Ask your broker or dealer about specific details regarding rollover.

Are you still confused and in need of an example? No problem - we discuss rollover more in depth in our School of Pipsology, so you'll be able to go there to learn more.

Demo Trading
You can open a demo account for free with most Forex brokers. This account has the full capabilities of a "real" account. Why is it free? It’s because the broker wants you to learn the ins and outs of their trading platform, and have a good time trading without risk, so you’ll fall in love with them and deposit real money. The demo account allows you to learn about the Forex markets and test your trading skills with ZERO risk.

YOU SHOULD DEMO TRADE FOR AT LEAST 2 MONTHS BEFORE YOU EVEN THINK ABOUT PUTTING REAL MONEY ON THE LINE.

I REPEAT, YOU SHOULD DEMO TRADE FOR AT LEAST 2 MONTHS BEFORE YOU EVEN THINK ABOUT PUTTING REAL MONEY ON THE LINE.
"Don't Lose Your Money" Declaration

Place your hand on your heart and say...

"I will demo trade for at least 2 months before I trade with real money."

Now touch your head with your index finger and say...

"I am a smart and patient Forex trader!"

By Babypips